Statements (26)
| Predicate | Object |
|---|---|
| gptkbp:instanceOf |
gptkb:group_of_people
|
| gptkbp:associatedWith |
gptkb:Good_Judgment_Inc.
metacognition calibration open-mindedness probabilistic reasoning active updating of beliefs cognitive diversity |
| gptkbp:characteristic |
consistently make accurate predictions
|
| gptkbp:contrastsWith |
ordinary forecasters
|
| gptkbp:definedIn |
gptkb:Philip_E._Tetlock
|
| gptkbp:describedBy |
gptkb:Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_Science_of_Prediction
|
| gptkbp:fieldOfWork |
gptkb:public_policy
intelligence analysis risk assessment forecasting geopolitical prediction |
| https://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label |
superforecasters
|
| gptkbp:notableExample |
gptkb:Michael_Story
gptkb:Jean-Pierre_Beugoms gptkb:William_Flack |
| gptkbp:originatedIn |
gptkb:Intelligence_Advanced_Research_Projects_Activity_(IARPA)
forecasting tournaments |
| gptkbp:studiedIn |
gptkb:Good_Judgment_Project
|
| gptkbp:bfsParent |
gptkb:Good_Judgment_Project
|
| gptkbp:bfsLayer |
6
|