Statements (64)
| Predicate | Object |
|---|---|
| gptkbp:instance_of |
gptkb:technique
|
| gptkbp:bfsLayer |
5
|
| gptkbp:bfsParent |
gptkb:Philip_E._Tetlock
|
| gptkbp:applies_to |
gptkb:battle
risk assessment various fields |
| gptkbp:based_on |
historical data
Bayesian reasoning |
| gptkbp:developed_by |
gptkb:Philip_E._Tetlock
|
| gptkbp:discipline |
crosses multiple domains
|
| gptkbp:emphasizes |
open-mindedness
|
| gptkbp:encourages |
continuous learning
|
| gptkbp:focuses_on |
improving prediction accuracy
|
| https://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label |
Superforecasting
|
| gptkbp:influenced_by |
Tetlock's research
|
| gptkbp:involves |
collective intelligence
scenario planning |
| gptkbp:is_a_framework_for |
understanding uncertainty
|
| gptkbp:is_a_tool_for |
strategic planning
|
| gptkbp:is_associated_with |
high-stakes environments
the Good Judgment Project |
| gptkbp:is_characterized_by |
high accuracy rates
|
| gptkbp:is_compared_to |
traditional forecasting methods
|
| gptkbp:is_criticized_for |
overconfidence in predictions
|
| gptkbp:is_documented_in |
gptkb:academic_research
|
| gptkbp:is_enhanced_by |
team collaboration
|
| gptkbp:is_featured_in |
media articles
|
| gptkbp:is_influenced_by |
feedback loops
cognitive biases |
| gptkbp:is_linked_to |
effective communication
decision-making processes |
| gptkbp:is_recognized_by |
intelligence agencies
|
| gptkbp:is_supported_by |
data analysis
|
| gptkbp:is_used_in |
economic forecasting
political forecasting scientific predictions |
| gptkbp:is_used_to |
evaluate risks
|
| gptkbp:key |
predictive analytics
|
| gptkbp:marketing_strategy |
navigating complex problems
|
| gptkbp:performed_by |
experts
can be quantified requires discipline encourages humility benefits from diverse perspectives can be applied to personal life can lead to better resource allocation can reduce uncertainty in planning. |
| gptkbp:published_by |
gptkb:Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_Science_of_Prediction
|
| gptkbp:related_concept |
challenges conventional wisdom
|
| gptkbp:requires |
analytical skills
|
| gptkbp:skills |
can be developed
improves with experience |
| gptkbp:technique |
fosters critical thinking
enhances situational awareness supports evidence-based decision making can enhance negotiation skills can improve team outcomes can inform policy making forecasting future events involves iterative processes promotes adaptability |
| gptkbp:training |
workshops
|
| gptkbp:utilizes |
probabilistic thinking
|
| gptkbp:was_a_response_to |
uncertainty
|