Statements (48)
| Predicate | Object |
|---|---|
| gptkbp:instanceOf |
Strategic planning method
|
| gptkbp:alternativeName |
Scenario analysis
Scenario development Scenario thinking |
| gptkbp:appliesTo |
Governments
Corporations Nonprofits Military organizations |
| gptkbp:benefit |
Enhanced preparedness
Improved risk awareness Strategic flexibility |
| gptkbp:contrastsWith |
Forecasting
Predictive modeling |
| gptkbp:doesNotFocusOn |
Single predicted future
|
| gptkbp:focusesOn |
Multiple plausible futures
|
| https://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label |
Scenario planning
|
| gptkbp:influencedBy |
Uncertainty
Complexity External trends Internal dynamics |
| gptkbp:limitation |
Difficult to validate
Resource intensive Subject to bias |
| gptkbp:notableFigure |
gptkb:Royal_Dutch_Shell
gptkb:Pierre_Wack |
| gptkbp:notablePublication |
gptkb:The_Art_of_the_Long_View
gptkb:Scenarios:_The_Art_of_Strategic_Conversation |
| gptkbp:originatedIn |
1950s
|
| gptkbp:purpose |
Anticipate possible futures
Improve decision making |
| gptkbp:relatedTo |
gptkb:Delphi_method
Risk management Backcasting Contingency planning Environmental scanning Foresight Trend analysis |
| gptkbp:step |
Describe scenarios
Develop scenario logics Identify critical uncertainties Identify driving forces Implications and options Monitor indicators |
| gptkbp:usedIn |
gptkb:public_policy
gptkb:strategy Military planning |
| gptkbp:bfsParent |
gptkb:Delphi_method
|
| gptkbp:bfsLayer |
5
|