Triple

T10023583
Position Surface form Disambiguated ID Type / Status
Subject Thomas Bayes E200668 entity
Predicate posthumousPublication P15628 FINISHED
Object An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances E835243 NE FINISHED

How this triple was built (2 steps)

Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.

NER Named-entity recognition gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances | Statement: [Thomas Bayes, posthumousPublication, An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances]
NED1 Entity disambiguation (via context triple) gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07 
Target entity: An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances
Context triple: [Thomas Bayes, posthumousPublication, An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances]
  • A. An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances chosen
    "An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances" is the posthumously published paper by Thomas Bayes that introduced the foundational ideas of Bayesian probability theory.
  • B. The Doctrine of Chances
    The Doctrine of Chances is an influential 18th-century treatise by Abraham de Moivre that systematically developed the mathematical theory of probability, especially as applied to games of chance.
  • C. Ars Conjectandi
    Ars Conjectandi is a foundational 1713 treatise on probability theory by Jakob Bernoulli that systematically developed the mathematical study of chance and introduced key concepts such as the law of large numbers.
  • D. A Treatise on Probability
    A Treatise on Probability is John Maynard Keynes’s influential 1921 work that develops a logical and philosophical theory of probability, challenging classical and frequency-based interpretations.
  • E. De ratiociniis in ludo aleae
    De ratiociniis in ludo aleae is a pioneering 17th-century treatise on probability theory, particularly as applied to games of chance.
  • F. None of above.
  • G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.

Provenance (3 batches)

The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.

Step Stage Batch ID Status When
creating Elicitation batch_69ca831c45f08190ac1505cc15076608 completed March 30, 2026, 2:05 p.m.
NER Named-entity recognition batch_69cdcd7c75548190aa604d90d63dc111 completed April 2, 2026, 1:59 a.m.
NED1 Entity disambiguation (via context triple) batch_69d29a17359081908c3ef7df819c74f9 completed April 5, 2026, 5:21 p.m.
Created at: March 30, 2026, 8:53 p.m.