Statements (59)
| Predicate | Object |
|---|---|
| gptkbp:instanceOf |
gptkb:market
|
| gptkbp:accuracy |
Often Outperforms Polls
Sensitive to Information Quality Subject to Liquidity Constraints |
| gptkbp:alsoKnownAs |
gptkb:Event_Derivatives
gptkb:Information_Markets |
| gptkbp:basedOn |
Market Mechanisms
|
| gptkbp:controversy |
Insider Trading
Market Manipulation Gambling Laws Legal Restrictions |
| gptkbp:example |
gptkb:Betfair
gptkb:Intrade gptkb:Iowa_Electronic_Markets gptkb:PredictIt gptkb:Polymarket |
| gptkbp:feature |
Transparency
Liquidity Automated Market Makers Blockchain Integration Continuous Price Updates Decentralized Platforms Event-Driven Settlement Market Maker Algorithms Open Participation Play Money Trading Real Money Trading |
| https://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label |
Prediction Markets
|
| gptkbp:influencedBy |
Information Flow
Market Design Trader Incentives |
| gptkbp:participants |
Traders
Speculators Forecasters |
| gptkbp:popularizedBy |
gptkb:Robin_Hanson
1990s |
| gptkbp:regulates |
gptkb:Commodity_Futures_Trading_Commission_(CFTC)
|
| gptkbp:relatedTo |
gptkb:Betting_Exchanges
gptkb:Futures_Markets gptkb:Wisdom_of_the_Crowd Crowdsourcing |
| gptkbp:result |
Market Price Reflects Probability
|
| gptkbp:studiedBy |
gptkb:Statisticians
gptkb:Political_Scientists Economists Data Scientists |
| gptkbp:usedFor |
Risk Management
Forecasting Decision Making Aggregating Information |
| gptkbp:usedIn |
gptkb:public_policy
Scientific Research Financial Markets Sports Betting Corporate Decision Making Elections Forecasting |
| gptkbp:bfsParent |
gptkb:Numeraire
gptkb:Smart_Contract |
| gptkbp:bfsLayer |
6
|