Statements (50)
Predicate | Object |
---|---|
gptkbp:instance_of |
gptkb:Person
|
gptkbp:affiliation |
gptkb:University_of_California,_Berkeley
|
gptkbp:author |
gptkb:Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_Science_of_Prediction
|
gptkbp:awards |
gptkb:William_James_Fellow_Award
Lifetime Achievement Award from the International Society of Political Psychology |
gptkbp:birth_date |
1943-07-17
|
gptkbp:children |
2
|
gptkbp:collaborator |
gptkb:Barbara_Mellers
gptkb:Derek_J._Koehler |
gptkbp:contribution |
Developing the concept of superforecasting
Founding the Good Judgment Project |
gptkbp:education |
BA from the University of Toronto
Ph D from Stanford University |
gptkbp:field |
gptkb:Political_Science
gptkb:psychology |
https://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label |
Philip Tetlock
|
gptkbp:influenced |
Policy analysis
Forecasting community |
gptkbp:influenced_by |
gptkb:Amos_Tversky
gptkb:Daniel_Kahneman |
gptkbp:involvement |
Consulting for government agencies
Teaching at universities Writing articles for academic journals Advocating for interdisciplinary approaches in research Analyzing historical predictions for accuracy Conducting workshops on decision making Engaging with the media on prediction topics Exploring the limits of expert judgment Mentoring students in political psychology Participating in forecasting tournaments Promoting evidence-based forecasting practices Public speaking on forecasting Researching the psychology of intelligence analysis |
gptkbp:known_for |
Expertise in political forecasting
Research on judgment and decision making |
gptkbp:nationality |
gptkb:Canadian
|
gptkbp:notable_feature |
The impact of overconfidence on predictions
The importance of probabilistic thinking The role of feedback in improving forecasts The value of tracking prediction accuracy The concept of 'hedgehogs' vs 'foxes' in forecasting The significance of diverse viewpoints in forecasting |
gptkbp:notable_work |
Expert Political Judgment
|
gptkbp:research_focus |
Decision-making processes
Accuracy of predictions Cognitive biases in forecasting |
gptkbp:spouse |
gptkb:Barbara_Tetlock
|
gptkbp:bfsParent |
gptkb:Amos_Tversky
gptkb:Daniel_Kahneman |
gptkbp:bfsLayer |
5
|