Triple
T2504699
| Position | Surface form | Disambiguated ID | Type / Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Lucas critique |
E52550
|
entity |
| Predicate | describedInWork |
P519
|
FINISHED |
| Object |
Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique
"Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique" is a seminal 1976 paper by Robert E. Lucas Jr. that argues traditional econometric models are unreliable for predicting the effects of policy changes because they ignore how agents’ expectations and behavior adjust to new policies.
|
E52550
|
NE FINISHED |
How this triple was built (4 steps)
Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.
NER
Named-entity recognition
gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique | Statement: [Lucas critique, describedInWork, Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique]
NED1
Entity disambiguation (via context triple)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique Context triple: [Lucas critique, describedInWork, Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique]
-
A.
The Probability Approach in Econometrics
The Probability Approach in Econometrics is Trygve Haavelmo’s landmark work that founded modern econometrics by rigorously formulating economic relationships within a probabilistic, statistical framework.
-
B.
Three Essays on the State of Economic Science
Three Essays on the State of Economic Science is a seminal collection of essays by economist Tjalling C. Koopmans that helped shape modern econometric and economic theory through its rigorous analysis of scientific methodology in economics.
-
C.
Rules, Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy
"Rules, Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy" is an influential economic paper that analyzes how different monetary policy regimes and the credibility of policymakers affect inflation and output outcomes.
-
D.
Lucas critique
The Lucas critique is an influential argument in macroeconomics asserting that policy evaluations based on historical correlations are unreliable because people’s expectations and behavior change systematically when policy rules change.
-
E.
Economic Policy: Principles and Design
"Economic Policy: Principles and Design" is a foundational economics book by Jan Tinbergen that systematically develops the theory and methodology of designing and implementing effective economic policies.
- F. None of above. chosen
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
NEDg
Description generation
gpt-5.1
Instruction
Generate a one-sentence description of the target entity. You are given a context triple in the form (subject, predicate, object), where the object is the target entity. # Instructions Use the triple to infer relevant information about the entity. Describe the entity based on what is most defining, well-known. Avoid repeating the information from the triple, unless really essential. # Response Format Return only the sentence: "Description: [one-sentence description of the target entity]"
Input
Entity: Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique Triple: [Lucas critique, describedInWork, Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique]
Generated description
"Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique" is a seminal 1976 paper by Robert E. Lucas Jr. that argues traditional econometric models are unreliable for predicting the effects of policy changes because they ignore how agents’ expectations and behavior adjust to new policies.
NED2
Entity disambiguation (via description)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique Target entity description: "Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique" is a seminal 1976 paper by Robert E. Lucas Jr. that argues traditional econometric models are unreliable for predicting the effects of policy changes because they ignore how agents’ expectations and behavior adjust to new policies.
-
A.
The Probability Approach in Econometrics
The Probability Approach in Econometrics is Trygve Haavelmo’s landmark work that founded modern econometrics by rigorously formulating economic relationships within a probabilistic, statistical framework.
-
B.
Three Essays on the State of Economic Science
Three Essays on the State of Economic Science is a seminal collection of essays by economist Tjalling C. Koopmans that helped shape modern econometric and economic theory through its rigorous analysis of scientific methodology in economics.
-
C.
Rules, Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy
"Rules, Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy" is an influential economic paper that analyzes how different monetary policy regimes and the credibility of policymakers affect inflation and output outcomes.
-
D.
Lucas critique
chosen
The Lucas critique is an influential argument in macroeconomics asserting that policy evaluations based on historical correlations are unreliable because people’s expectations and behavior change systematically when policy rules change.
-
E.
Economic Policy: Principles and Design
"Economic Policy: Principles and Design" is a foundational economics book by Jan Tinbergen that systematically develops the theory and methodology of designing and implementing effective economic policies.
- F. None of above.
Provenance (5 batches)
The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.
| Step | Stage | Batch ID | Status | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| creating | Elicitation | batch_69ab4957b3a88190adf968ae0c1b931c |
completed | March 6, 2026, 9:38 p.m. |
| NER | Named-entity recognition | batch_69abd1cd2db0819087d21ec49ffd9585 |
completed | March 7, 2026, 7:20 a.m. |
| NED1 | Entity disambiguation (via context triple) | batch_69af1fa57aa4819096578a5538973ec4 |
completed | March 9, 2026, 7:29 p.m. |
| NEDg | Description generation | batch_69af203f7ca08190ba781891bd879192 |
completed | March 9, 2026, 7:32 p.m. |
| NED2 | Entity disambiguation (via description) | batch_69af20cd13a88190a35bc1b74ad088ef |
completed | March 9, 2026, 7:34 p.m. |
Created at: March 6, 2026, 9:46 p.m.