Triple
T22791023
| Position | Surface form | Disambiguated ID | Type / Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Ellsberg paradox |
E564108
|
entity |
| Predicate | relatedTo |
P37
|
FINISHED |
| Object | Knightian uncertainty |
—
|
NE NERFINISHED |
How this triple was built (2 steps)
Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.
NER
Named-entity recognition
gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: Knightian uncertainty | Statement: [Ellsberg paradox, relatedTo, Knightian uncertainty]
NED1
Entity disambiguation (via context triple)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Knightian uncertainty Context triple: [Ellsberg paradox, relatedTo, Knightian uncertainty]
-
A.
Knightian uncertainty
chosen
Knightian uncertainty is an economic concept describing situations where the probability of outcomes is fundamentally unknowable or unquantifiable, going beyond measurable risk.
-
B.
Ellsberg paradox
The Ellsberg paradox is a famous problem in decision theory and economics that demonstrates how people’s choices often violate expected utility theory due to ambiguity aversion.
-
C.
Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms
"Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms" is a seminal 1961 paper by Daniel Ellsberg that challenges expected utility theory by demonstrating how people systematically prefer known risks over ambiguous ones, a phenomenon now known as the Ellsberg paradox.
-
D.
Ellsberg
Ellsberg is a surname most famously associated with Daniel Ellsberg, the American military analyst who leaked the Pentagon Papers during the Vietnam War.
-
E.
St. Petersburg paradox
The St. Petersburg paradox is a famous problem in probability theory and economics that highlights how a lottery with an infinite expected payoff can still attract only a finite price from rational gamblers, challenging traditional notions of expected value and decision-making under risk.
- F. None of above.
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
Provenance (2 batches)
The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.
| Step | Stage | Batch ID | Status | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| creating | Elicitation | batch_69e2455500788190b4b33030461f3bbd |
completed | April 17, 2026, 2:36 p.m. |
| NER | Named-entity recognition | batch_69f17c3545fc819084af67cc25e94839 |
completed | April 29, 2026, 3:34 a.m. |
Created at: April 17, 2026, 3:29 p.m.