Triple
T1863273
| Position | Surface form | Disambiguated ID | Type / Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Abraham de Moivre |
E34862
|
entity |
| Predicate | notableWork |
P4
|
FINISHED |
| Object |
The Doctrine of Chances
The Doctrine of Chances is an influential 18th-century treatise by Abraham de Moivre that systematically developed the mathematical theory of probability, especially as applied to games of chance.
|
E208549
|
NE FINISHED |
How this triple was built (4 steps)
Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.
NER
Named-entity recognition
gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: The Doctrine of Chances | Statement: [Abraham de Moivre, notableWork, The Doctrine of Chances]
NED1
Entity disambiguation (via context triple)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: The Doctrine of Chances Context triple: [Abraham de Moivre, notableWork, The Doctrine of Chances]
-
A.
Ars Conjectandi
Ars Conjectandi is a foundational 1713 treatise on probability theory by Jakob Bernoulli that systematically developed the mathematical study of chance and introduced key concepts such as the law of large numbers.
-
B.
De ratiociniis in ludo aleae
De ratiociniis in ludo aleae is a pioneering 17th-century treatise on probability theory, particularly as applied to games of chance.
-
C.
A Treatise on Probability
A Treatise on Probability is John Maynard Keynes’s influential 1921 work that develops a logical and philosophical theory of probability, challenging classical and frequency-based interpretations.
-
D.
Théorie analytique des probabilités
Théorie analytique des probabilités is Pierre-Simon Laplace’s foundational treatise that systematically developed probability theory and laid the groundwork for modern statistics.
-
E.
Enigmas of Chance: An Autobiography
Enigmas of Chance: An Autobiography is the memoir of mathematician Mark Kac, reflecting on his life, career, and contributions to probability theory and mathematical physics.
- F. None of above. chosen
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
NEDg
Description generation
gpt-5.1
Instruction
Generate a one-sentence description of the target entity. You are given a context triple in the form (subject, predicate, object), where the object is the target entity. # Instructions Use the triple to infer relevant information about the entity. Describe the entity based on what is most defining, well-known. Avoid repeating the information from the triple, unless really essential. # Response Format Return only the sentence: "Description: [one-sentence description of the target entity]"
Input
Entity: The Doctrine of Chances Triple: [Abraham de Moivre, notableWork, The Doctrine of Chances]
Generated description
The Doctrine of Chances is an influential 18th-century treatise by Abraham de Moivre that systematically developed the mathematical theory of probability, especially as applied to games of chance.
NED2
Entity disambiguation (via description)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: The Doctrine of Chances Target entity description: The Doctrine of Chances is an influential 18th-century treatise by Abraham de Moivre that systematically developed the mathematical theory of probability, especially as applied to games of chance.
-
A.
Ars Conjectandi
Ars Conjectandi is a foundational 1713 treatise on probability theory by Jakob Bernoulli that systematically developed the mathematical study of chance and introduced key concepts such as the law of large numbers.
-
B.
De ratiociniis in ludo aleae
De ratiociniis in ludo aleae is a pioneering 17th-century treatise on probability theory, particularly as applied to games of chance.
-
C.
A Treatise on Probability
A Treatise on Probability is John Maynard Keynes’s influential 1921 work that develops a logical and philosophical theory of probability, challenging classical and frequency-based interpretations.
-
D.
Théorie analytique des probabilités
Théorie analytique des probabilités is Pierre-Simon Laplace’s foundational treatise that systematically developed probability theory and laid the groundwork for modern statistics.
-
E.
Enigmas of Chance: An Autobiography
Enigmas of Chance: An Autobiography is the memoir of mathematician Mark Kac, reflecting on his life, career, and contributions to probability theory and mathematical physics.
- F. None of above. chosen
Provenance (5 batches)
The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.
| Step | Stage | Batch ID | Status | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| creating | Elicitation | batch_69a88600b2f88190bc09303e68ab517e |
completed | March 4, 2026, 7:20 p.m. |
| NER | Named-entity recognition | batch_69abb09f856c8190807a7cf2a5f49fcb |
completed | March 7, 2026, 4:59 a.m. |
| NED1 | Entity disambiguation (via context triple) | batch_69add1d2d2d48190b2234d1ec9ba9085 |
completed | March 8, 2026, 7:45 p.m. |
| NEDg | Description generation | batch_69add28a8f848190bf6ea0924e7dd9fc |
completed | March 8, 2026, 7:48 p.m. |
| NED2 | Entity disambiguation (via description) | batch_69add37ad9a481908b2a1476a8d33091 |
completed | March 8, 2026, 7:52 p.m. |
Created at: March 4, 2026, 7:34 p.m.